Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 6.526832 7.185231 7.887264 8.692572 9.592100 10.567383 11.706782
2025-11-16 5.363917 6.256553 7.272291 8.517993 10.010425 11.748222 13.935451
2025-11-23 4.577668 5.602618 6.834214 8.432982 10.467750 12.989808 16.381832
2025-11-30 4.097247 5.227817 6.652320 8.596566 11.208273 14.633752 19.530350
2025-12-07 3.634067 4.803566 6.337973 8.524773 11.603930 15.849171 22.257692
2025-12-14 3.221890 4.390353 5.978053 8.327964 11.777176 16.749010 24.633052
2025-12-21 2.931784 4.106888 5.755396 8.281543 12.135055 17.925871 27.546504
2025-12-28 2.760125 3.969073 5.717425 8.487454 12.873597 19.738570 31.680845
2026-01-04 2.600361 3.829788 5.657961 8.644995 13.541692 21.503930 35.972456
2026-01-11 2.430678 3.657694 5.528733 8.672548 13.992573 22.953328 39.911841
2026-01-18 2.258212 3.464813 5.347114 8.591579 14.244335 24.080763 43.416188
2026-01-25 2.096054 3.273880 5.150246 8.461820 14.390391 25.026944 46.699349
2026-02-01 1.942948 3.088504 4.951661 8.317992 14.510356 25.966886 50.175250
2026-02-08 1.812408 2.930333 4.785441 8.214781 14.693131 27.047874 54.117253
2026-02-15 1.703971 2.800809 4.656872 8.165665 14.970007 28.342359 58.721229
2026-02-22 1.641639 2.745215 4.651324 8.340676 15.696369 30.622957 65.878555
2026-03-01 1.548880 2.629002 4.528072 8.280194 15.945350 31.946428 71.073248
2026-03-08 1.446567 2.488235 4.349066 8.094250 15.915316 32.667153 74.950970
2026-03-15 1.372908 2.393977 4.248080 8.051623 16.177761 34.056191 80.714416
2026-03-22 1.336409 2.365331 4.267454 8.252311 16.983268 36.774353 90.393579
2026-03-29 1.296258 2.326782 4.264429 8.405576 17.700386 39.383327 100.299946
2026-04-05 1.244099 2.261669 4.204484 8.432610 18.133642 41.368340 108.873422
2026-04-12 1.184041 2.177295 4.100155 8.354343 18.313102 42.748871 115.982186